
Gwayne's Eye Opens Daeron's
THE ARGUMENT
Daeron's trust in Ormund is functionally broken: the assassination scene gave him visible, undeniable proof that the man whose judgment he has been forced to treat as law can be fooled where others cannot. Daeron has already confessed to Gwayne that Ormund's sponsorship is predatory and his own performed deference a kind of self-erasure. What the show has not confirmed is that these two things have fused in Daeron's interior into something that will eventually require action.
How This Theory Works
Daeron's trust in Ormund is functionally broken, even if his dependence on him remains intact. The assassination scene is the precise moment where that fracture opens. Gwayne identified the deception and resolved it with his own sword while Ormund stood ready to welcome the assassin into formal audience. Daeron saw all of this.
The dramatic weight of that sequence falls on what it reveals about the power dynamic Daeron has been trapped inside. Ormund lectures others on the dangers of ambitious men, delivers contemptuous assessments of Otto Hightower, and positions himself as the strategic mind behind the Greens' campaign. The assassination scene tests that self-image directly and finds it wanting. Daeron has spent this campaign absorbing Ormund's authority, performing deference to keep himself safe, and privately confessing to Gwayne that he hates what he becomes in Ormund's presence. The man who failed to spot the assassin is the same man whose judgment Daeron has been treating as law.
What makes this reading uncomfortable is that Daeron's vulnerability has not decreased. He still has no army of his own, no dragon, and no political standing independent of Ormund's sponsorship. The gap between perceiving Ormund's fallibility and being able to act on that perception may be vast. But Daeron's private confession to Gwayne, that Ormund would devour him from within if placed on the throne, now sits alongside concrete evidence that Ormund's vaunted strategic acuity nearly got them both killed. Daeron is not yet building a case against Ormund. He is discovering that the case has been building itself around him, and Gwayne is the first person close enough to him to have handed him the proof.
Is this theory convincing?
Key Evidence
Ormund Fooled by False Baratheon
Ormund welcomed and was prepared to grant formal audience to an assassin posing as a Baratheon envoy, failing entirely to detect the deception before Gwayne intervened.
Gwayne Kills the Assassin Himself
Gwayne identified the fake envoy by citing specific physical details the real Ser Arrion Baratheon would have had, and personally dispatched the assassin, making the contrast with Ormund's blindness explicit and visible to Daeron.
Daeron Confesses Hatred of Deference
In conversation with Gwayne, Daeron states that he hates what he is when he is with Ormund, describing himself as a puppet and a fool, establishing that his performance of loyalty to Ormund masks active resentment.
Daeron's Devoured-From-Within Fear
Daeron tells Gwayne that Ormund would thrust him forward and devour him from within until there is nothing left, framing Ormund's sponsorship as predatory and his own future kingship as a fiction.
Pattern of Ormund Misjudging Threats
Ormund's dismissal of the dragon threat as something Rhaenyra is too squeamish to use, combined with his failure to detect the assassination plot, forms a pattern of strategic overconfidence that Daeron is positioned to observe and evaluate.
This theory was evaluated using Theory Atlas editorial standards, including evidence review, narrative fit, and competing interpretation analysis. Learn how Theory Atlas evaluates theories →







