Alys Rivers Already Knew Aemond Was Coming
Plausibility Score
(?)Convinced
(?)#6
of 934 theories
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THEORY ASSESSMENT
The episode confirms Alys's pivot to Aemond and her prior warnings to Daemon, which are consistent with the theory, but nothing in the ground truth explicitly confirms foresight over opportunism as the mechanism.
STORY CONTEXT
Daemon came to raise an army and instead got waking nightmares. Theories here ask whether Harrenhal's curse is supernatural, psychological, or something Alys Rivers is actively orchestrating, and what it means that the walls seem to know his guilt.
ACTIVE SIGNALS
This theory ranks among the highest-scored in the entire Theory Atlas catalog.
WHY THIS MATTERS
If Alys Rivers operates with genuine foresight, she becomes the most dangerous figure in the Riverlands not because of any army or dragon but because she can see moves no one else has made yet. Her alignment with Aemond would then represent not refuge but predation, with Aemond as the resource she always intended to claim.
Other Theories for S3E02
Grief Makes Rhaenyra Cross the Final Line
Rhaenyra took King's Landing not as a queen executing a strategy but as a mother whose grief had dissolved the restraint that had kept her from personal violence.
Otto Hightower Was Left Alive on Purpose, and the Execution Was Staged Before the Wrong Audience
Larys Strong left Otto Hightower breathing in the Red Keep dungeons not through negligence but as a mechanism timed to shatter the Rhaenyra-Alicent alliance at its first test.
Otto's Death Breaks the Deal Permanently
Alicent likely reads Otto's execution not as improvised political violence but as proof that Rhaenyra's negotiation was a trap, a suspicion the show has deliberately left unconfirmed through sustained silence in the throne room.
Jace's Last Order Doomed the Black Fleet
Jacaerys's lock order was an unauthorized transfer of command authority that left the Black fleet without sovereign direction at the Battle of the Gullet, and the show's refusal to close the causal gap between that order and the disaster is the argument.
Rhaena Rode Sheepstealer and Lost Jace
Rhaena rode Sheepstealer at the Battle of the Gullet, lost control of the dragon in combat, and bears direct responsibility for Jace's death as a consequence.